Análisis Lucena vs Unión Estepona
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.65
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.4%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
26.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.13
Goles esperados
0-1
7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 2009 |
RJA
0 - 0
LUC
54%
28%
19%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2009 |
LUC
2 - 2
CFB
45%
25%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 oct. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 1
LUC
23%
26%
51%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | -2 |
| 11 oct. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
IMP
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
ROQ
2 - 1
LUC
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Unión Estepona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 nov. 2009 |
EST
1 - 2
ECI
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 oct. 2009 |
SRQ
3 - 0
EST
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 oct. 2009 |
EST
2 - 1
SEV
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 oct. 2009 |
EST
1 - 2
MEL
30%
28%
42%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 oct. 2009 |
RJA
4 - 0
EST
52%
28%
21%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | -1 |