Análisis Lucena vs Utrera
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
+3
6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.3%
27.9%
Empate
0-0
11%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
23.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 1998 |
SFE
1 - 2
LUC
73%
17%
10%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1998 |
LUC
3 - 0
BAR
66%
21%
12%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1998 |
BAL
0 - 2
LUC
41%
28%
31%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 sep. 1998 |
LUC
1 - 0
MON
49%
28%
24%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 1998 |
UDT
0 - 0
LUC
17%
24%
59%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Utrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 1998 |
UTR
3 - 0
CDR
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1998 |
ARC
2 - 3
UTR
36%
29%
35%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 sep. 1998 |
UTR
1 - 3
DHE
39%
26%
35%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 sep. 1998 |
AYA
1 - 1
UTR
41%
28%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 ago. 1998 |
UTR
0 - 2
CCF
64%
21%
15%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |