Análisis Lucero-Linces vs Aguilas del Lucero
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
74.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.58
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.3%
Empate
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
9.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+121%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lucero-Linces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2014 |
LCB
1 - 2
LUL
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2014 |
LUL
2 - 0
ALU
51%
22%
27%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 sep. 2014 |
SIL
1 - 0
LUL
19%
21%
60%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 sep. 2014 |
LUL
3 - 0
MAA
30%
23%
47%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 sep. 2014 |
ORC
0 - 1
LUL
58%
22%
20%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Aguilas del Lucero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 oct. 2014 |
ADL
3 - 1
PKP
42%
23%
35%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 oct. 2014 |
FER
4 - 1
ADL
51%
22%
27%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 sep. 2014 |
ADL
1 - 2
EFC
37%
24%
40%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 sep. 2014 |
PIQ
3 - 2
ADL
50%
22%
28%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 sep. 2014 |
ADL
1 - 3
PAA
67%
18%
15%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | -1 |