Serie A Jor. 4

Análisis Lucchese Libertas vs Modena

Lucchese Libertas Modena
69 ELO 68
-5.4% Tilt -8.5%
2887º Ranking ELO general 441º
103º Ranking ELO país 34º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
49.7%
Lucchese Libertas
21.1%
Empate
29.2%
Modena

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Lucchese Libertas
2.08
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.1%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
29.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
Modena
1.57
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Lucchese Libertas
Modena
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Lucchese Libertas
Lucchese Libertas
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 oct. 1938
TOR
Torino
5 - 1
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
79%
12%
8%
69 81 12 0
25 sep. 1938
TRI
Triestina
2 - 1
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
64%
19%
17%
70 79 9 -1
18 sep. 1938
ASL
Lucchese Libertas
1 - 0
Juventus
JUV
17%
23%
60%
68 87 19 +2
24 abr. 1938
ASL
Lucchese Libertas
1 - 0
Triestina
TRI
44%
25%
31%
67 80 13 +1
17 abr. 1938
GEN
Genoa
3 - 0
Lucchese Libertas
ASL
79%
13%
9%
68 81 13 -1

Partidos

Modena
Modena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 oct. 1938
MOD
Modena
1 - 0
Triestina
TRI
45%
24%
31%
68 79 11 0
25 sep. 1938
JUV
Juventus
1 - 1
Modena
MOD
70%
16%
14%
68 86 18 0
18 sep. 1938
MOD
Modena
2 - 3
ACO Liguria
ACL
45%
23%
32%
68 76 8 0
12 jun. 1932
LAZ
Lazio
9 - 1
Modena
MOD
59%
20%
21%
69 75 6 -1
05 jun. 1932
MOD
Modena
2 - 1
FC Alessandria
USA
45%
23%
32%
68 77 9 +1