Análisis Lugano II vs Baden
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
16.7%
Probabilidad gana
0.91
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.1%
Probabilidad gana
1.97
Goles esperados
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
-41%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 2022 |
UZW
3 - 2
LUG
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCG
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 abr. 2022 |
LUG
0 - 1
ESC
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 abr. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
LUG
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 abr. 2022 |
LUG
3 - 1
FCT
58%
21%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 2022 |
BAD
4 - 0
FCG
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 abr. 2022 |
FCT
0 - 4
BAD
14%
19%
67%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 abr. 2022 |
BAD
2 - 0
ESC
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 abr. 2022 |
BAD
2 - 0
TUG
43%
23%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 abr. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 1
BAD
41%
24%
35%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |