Análisis Lugano II vs Sarnen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.74
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.5%
Empate
0-0
3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lugano II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 2018 |
WIL
2 - 2
LUG
30%
21%
49%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 1
HER
42%
22%
36%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 sep. 2018 |
NOV
1 - 1
LUG
26%
22%
53%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 ago. 2018 |
IBA
0 - 2
LUG
36%
25%
40%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 ago. 2018 |
LUG
3 - 1
TAV
45%
23%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
Partidos
Sarnen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 sep. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 3
IBA
40%
24%
37%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2018 |
TAV
1 - 1
SAR
71%
17%
12%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 2018 |
PER
8 - 2
SAR
55%
20%
25%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2018 |
FCS
4 - 0
SAR
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 ago. 2018 |
ESC
1 - 3
SAR
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |