Análisis FC Lugano vs Basel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-27%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 1992 |
LUG
0 - 0
FCA
61%
23%
16%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1992 |
LOC
1 - 2
LUG
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1992 |
FCA
2 - 1
LUG
41%
28%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 1992 |
LUG
2 - 0
YVE
69%
19%
12%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 1992 |
LUG
2 - 1
BEL
66%
20%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 1992 |
BAS
2 - 1
BEL
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1992 |
BAD
2 - 1
BAS
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 abr. 1992 |
BAS
2 - 2
LOC
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 abr. 1992 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCM
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 1992 |
FCM
0 - 2
BAS
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |