Copa Suiza 1/16

Análisis FC Lugano vs Basel

FC Lugano Basel
55 ELO 85
-8.2% Tilt 1.1%
313º Ranking ELO general 235º
Ranking ELO país
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
11.7%
FC Lugano
18.2%
Empate
70.1%
Basel

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
11.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
FC Lugano
0.78
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
18.2%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
70.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
Basel
2.21
Goles esperados
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
FC Lugano
-14%
+12%
Basel

Progresión del ELO

FC Lugano
Basel
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 sep. 2006
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 2
La Chaux-de-Fonds
LAC
38%
26%
36%
56 59 3 0
16 sep. 2006
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 1
Wohlen
WOH
55%
25%
20%
56 51 5 0
10 sep. 2006
BAU
FC Baulmes
2 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
26%
26%
47%
57 46 11 -1
19 ago. 2006
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 1
Yverdon
YVE
39%
28%
33%
57 61 4 0
12 ago. 2006
KRI
SC Kriens
1 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
43%
26%
31%
58 56 2 -1

Partidos

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 sep. 2006
RAB
Rabotnički
0 - 1
Basel
BAS
19%
22%
60%
84 68 16 0
23 sep. 2006
BAS
Basel
3 - 1
Aarau
FCA
81%
13%
6%
84 67 17 0
18 sep. 2006
FCL
Luzern
2 - 0
Basel
BAS
15%
20%
65%
85 65 20 -1
14 sep. 2006
BAS
Basel
6 - 2
Rabotnički
RAB
80%
13%
6%
84 69 15 +1
10 sep. 2006
BAS
Basel
2 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
50%
23%
27%
84 85 1 0