Análisis FC Lugano vs Concordia Basel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.93
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.81
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-19%
+46%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 nov. 2008 |
STA
0 - 2
LUG
24%
24%
53%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2008 |
LUG
4 - 0
SCH
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 oct. 2008 |
LUG
1 - 0
LAU
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2008 |
LOC
3 - 1
LUG
24%
22%
55%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 oct. 2008 |
LOC
3 - 4
LUG
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 nov. 2008 |
CON
3 - 1
LAU
53%
23%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 2008 |
WIL
2 - 0
CON
63%
21%
15%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 oct. 2008 |
CON
0 - 4
LAC
66%
19%
16%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 oct. 2008 |
CON
3 - 1
SER
54%
21%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 oct. 2008 |
CON
3 - 2
WOH
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |