Análisis FC Lugano vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.74
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-12%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 may. 1999 |
YOB
0 - 3
LUG
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 may. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
ETO
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 may. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
YVE
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 may. 1999 |
WIL
3 - 0
LUG
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 abr. 1999 |
SIO
0 - 2
LUG
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 may. 1999 |
FCA
4 - 1
SIO
34%
26%
40%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1999 |
WIL
2 - 3
FCA
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 may. 1999 |
DEL
2 - 1
FCA
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 may. 1999 |
FCA
3 - 1
ETO
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 1999 |
YOB
4 - 1
FCA
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |