Análisis FC Lugano vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
55.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-15%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 dic. 2001 |
NEX
1 - 3
LUG
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 2
BAS
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2001 |
ZUR
2 - 3
LUG
36%
26%
37%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2001 |
LUG
1 - 1
STG
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2001 |
LAU
1 - 2
LUG
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 dic. 2001 |
FCA
2 - 0
YOB
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2001 |
FCA
1 - 2
NEX
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2001 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCA
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 nov. 2001 |
FCA
2 - 0
LAU
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 oct. 2001 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCA
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |