Análisis FC Lugano vs Thun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
33.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.16
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.2%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.29
Goles esperados
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 jul. 2015 |
STG
2 - 0
LUG
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 jun. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 1
DBU
41%
25%
35%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 may. 2015 |
LUG
2 - 3
WOH
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 may. 2015 |
BIE
0 - 2
LUG
25%
26%
50%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 may. 2015 |
LUG
4 - 1
CHI
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 jul. 2015 |
THU
2 - 1
HBS
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2015 |
THU
3 - 5
GCZ
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 jul. 2015 |
HBS
1 - 1
THU
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 jul. 2015 |
THU
2 - 2
SCH
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 jun. 2015 |
THU
0 - 1
LEM
75%
17%
8%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | -1 |