Análisis FC Lugano vs Thun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
35.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.4
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.7%
Empate
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.5
Goles esperados
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-17%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 ene. 2019 |
LUG
0 - 1
HSV
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2019 |
LUG
3 - 0
CHI
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 2018 |
ZUR
0 - 0
LUG
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 dic. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 2
SIO
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 dic. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 2
NEX
47%
24%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 ene. 2019 |
THU
1 - 0
KRI
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 ene. 2019 |
THU
2 - 0
RAP
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 2018 |
THU
1 - 0
GCZ
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 dic. 2018 |
YOB
3 - 2
THU
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 dic. 2018 |
THU
2 - 0
STG
60%
22%
19%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |