Segunda Suiza Jor. 3

Análisis FC Lugano vs Winterthur

FC Lugano Winterthur
52 ELO 59
0.6% Tilt -2.7%
314º Ranking ELO general 675º
Ranking ELO país 14º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
35.4%
FC Lugano
25.9%
Empate
38.7%
Winterthur

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
35.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
FC Lugano
1.31
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.9%
Empate
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Winterthur
1.38
Goles esperados
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
FC Lugano
-25%
+7%
Winterthur

Progresión del ELO

FC Lugano
Winterthur
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

FC Lugano
FC Lugano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 jul. 2007
LAC
La Chaux-de-Fonds
1 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
58%
23%
19%
52 57 5 0
21 jul. 2007
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 4
AC Bellinzona
BEL
33%
26%
41%
54 61 7 -2
26 may. 2007
LUG
FC Lugano
1 - 3
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
21%
25%
54%
54 70 16 0
19 may. 2007
CHI
Chiasso
2 - 0
FC Lugano
LUG
58%
24%
18%
55 62 7 -1
16 may. 2007
LUG
FC Lugano
3 - 3
Servette
SER
21%
24%
55%
54 69 15 +1

Partidos

Winterthur
Winterthur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 jul. 2007
DEL
Delemont
2 - 3
Winterthur
WIN
32%
25%
43%
58 50 8 0
26 may. 2007
KRI
SC Kriens
7 - 1
Winterthur
WIN
47%
25%
28%
59 59 0 -1
19 may. 2007
WIN
Winterthur
1 - 0
Wohlen
WOH
65%
20%
14%
58 50 8 +1
16 may. 2007
WIN
Winterthur
4 - 1
Locarno
LOC
59%
22%
19%
58 52 6 0
12 may. 2007
CON
Concordia Basel
1 - 7
Winterthur
WIN
53%
23%
24%
56 57 1 +2