Análisis CD Lugo vs Alcorcón
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
43.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.42
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.4%
Empate
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
30.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.14
Goles esperados
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 abr. 2015 |
RAC
1 - 0
LUG
47%
29%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2015 |
SAB
2 - 1
LUG
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 abr. 2015 |
LUG
4 - 0
MLL
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 mar. 2015 |
SMR
3 - 2
LUG
42%
29%
29%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 2
ALA
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 abr. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 0
MLL
42%
28%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2015 |
SMR
0 - 0
ALC
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 abr. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
ALA
47%
27%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 mar. 2015 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ALC
49%
26%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2015 |
ALC
3 - 1
FCB
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |