Análisis CD Lugo vs Arosa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
79.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.01
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
12.4%
Empate
0-0
2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.4%
8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-22%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 dic. 1959 |
ZEL
1 - 1
LUG
66%
18%
16%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 1959 |
LUG
4 - 0
GRA
83%
11%
7%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 1959 |
DEP
0 - 0
LUG
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 1959 |
LUG
2 - 1
FLA
87%
9%
4%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 1959 |
SAN
2 - 2
LUG
26%
26%
49%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
Partidos
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 dic. 1959 |
ARO
2 - 2
COX
52%
22%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 1959 |
ACF
2 - 2
ARO
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 1959 |
ZEL
3 - 1
ARO
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 nov. 1959 |
ARO
1 - 0
GRA
65%
19%
16%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 1959 |
DEP
0 - 1
ARO
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |