Análisis CD Lugo vs Arosa
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.19
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
9%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.59
Goles esperados
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-21%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 mar. 1965 |
ASP
3 - 4
LUG
47%
24%
28%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 1965 |
LUG
2 - 2
ACF
88%
9%
4%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 feb. 1965 |
FOZ
0 - 0
LUG
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 feb. 1965 |
LUG
0 - 0
COM
27%
22%
52%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 feb. 1965 |
CEL
0 - 2
LUG
37%
27%
36%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 mar. 1965 |
ARO
2 - 0
LEM
57%
23%
20%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 1965 |
ARE
1 - 0
ARO
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 feb. 1965 |
ASP
1 - 1
ARO
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 feb. 1965 |
ARO
1 - 1
ACF
57%
23%
21%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 1965 |
FOZ
1 - 2
ARO
68%
18%
14%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |