Tercera División Jor. 19

Análisis CD Lugo vs Arsenal CF

CD Lugo Arsenal CF
41 ELO 38
-8.6% Tilt -2.4%
3382º Ranking ELO general 34436º
79º Ranking ELO país 9610º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
75.2%
CD Lugo
14.4%
Empate
10.4%
Arsenal CF

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
CD Lugo
2.8
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.4%
Empate
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
Arsenal CF
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

CD Lugo
Arsenal CF
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

CD Lugo
CD Lugo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 ene. 1954
PON
Pontevedra
1 - 1
CD Lugo
LUG
58%
19%
23%
42 33 9 0
17 ene. 1954
CAL
Club Calzada
1 - 1
CD Lugo
LUG
48%
22%
30%
42 34 8 0
10 ene. 1954
LUG
CD Lugo
1 - 1
Real Valladolid Promesas
VAL
85%
10%
6%
42 32 10 0
27 dic. 1953
ARO
Arosa
1 - 0
CD Lugo
LUG
36%
23%
41%
44 29 15 -2
20 dic. 1953
LUG
CD Lugo
4 - 0
Club Lemos
LEM
87%
9%
5%
44 29 15 0

Partidos

Arsenal CF
Arsenal CF
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 ene. 1954
ACF
Arsenal CF
4 - 2
Júpiter Leonés
LEO
67%
17%
16%
37 36 1 0
17 ene. 1954
ACF
Arsenal CF
1 - 0
CD Turón
TUR
74%
15%
12%
36 34 2 +1
10 ene. 1954
SAN
Club Santiago SC
1 - 0
Arsenal CF
ACF
53%
23%
25%
37 31 6 -1
27 dic. 1953
ACF
Arsenal CF
3 - 2
Celta Fortuna
CEL
67%
17%
16%
36 37 1 +1
20 dic. 1953
CDO
CD Ourense
1 - 3
Arsenal CF
ACF
74%
15%
11%
35 35 0 +1