Análisis CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.2
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.7%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.6%
4.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.67
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
-5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 feb. 1962 |
ZEL
2 - 1
LUG
39%
24%
38%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 1962 |
LUG
3 - 0
CHO
84%
10%
5%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 1962 |
ALO
0 - 3
LUG
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 feb. 1962 |
LUG
3 - 0
VIV
89%
8%
3%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 1962 |
LEM
2 - 1
LUG
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -2 |
Partidos
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 feb. 1962 |
CEL
3 - 0
SAN
89%
8%
3%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 1962 |
MAR
2 - 2
CEL
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 feb. 1962 |
CEL
2 - 2
ARO
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 1962 |
ATO
5 - 1
CEL
57%
21%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 ene. 1962 |
CEL
2 - 0
DEP
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |