Análisis CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
89.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.4
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.6%
Empate
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
7.6%
3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.55
Goles esperados
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-24%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 abr. 1966 |
LUG
5 - 0
ALO
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1966 |
ARE
2 - 0
LUG
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 abr. 1966 |
BOU
1 - 3
LUG
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 mar. 1966 |
LUG
3 - 0
GRA
91%
7%
3%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 mar. 1966 |
LEM
1 - 1
LUG
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 abr. 1966 |
LEM
3 - 0
CEL
71%
17%
11%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 1966 |
CEL
1 - 1
COM
22%
24%
54%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +1 |
| 03 abr. 1966 |
ARO
1 - 1
CEL
69%
19%
12%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 mar. 1966 |
CEL
0 - 3
RCF
16%
20%
64%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | -2 |
| 20 mar. 1966 |
CDO
2 - 0
CEL
80%
12%
7%
|
21 | 49 | 28 | 0 |