Análisis CD Lugo vs Celta Fortuna
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.94
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.84
Goles esperados
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
-2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 abr. 2011 |
ULP
3 - 1
LUG
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2011 |
LUG
0 - 0
COX
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2011 |
RMC
2 - 2
LUG
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2011 |
LUG
2 - 1
RVB
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2011 |
CDB
3 - 1
LUG
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
Partidos
Celta Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 abr. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 4
GUA
32%
29%
40%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2011 |
LEG
2 - 1
CEL
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2011 |
CEL
0 - 0
ALC
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2011 |
ATB
5 - 1
CEL
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 mar. 2011 |
CEL
1 - 0
UBC
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |