Tercera División Jor. 1

Análisis CD Lugo vs UD Arenal

CD Lugo UD Arenal
27 ELO 12
-6.9% Tilt -13.3%
2222º Ranking ELO general 22232º
70º Ranking ELO país 7026º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
89.4%
CD Lugo
7.4%
Empate
3.1%
UD Arenal

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
89.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
CD Lugo
3.49
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
7.4%
Empate
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.4%
3.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
UD Arenal
0.59
Goles esperados
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

CD Lugo
UD Arenal
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

CD Lugo
CD Lugo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 may. 1957
JUV
CD Juvenil
2 - 0
CD Lugo
LUG
60%
21%
19%
30 27 3 0
05 may. 1957
LUG
CD Lugo
4 - 1
Betanzos CF
BET
79%
13%
8%
29 22 7 +1
28 abr. 1957
LUG
CD Lugo
2 - 0
Ribadeo FC
RIB
89%
8%
4%
29 14 15 0
21 abr. 1957
LUG
CD Lugo
3 - 0
Club Lemos
LEM
66%
18%
16%
28 29 1 +1
14 abr. 1957
GRA
Gran Peña
3 - 2
CD Lugo
LUG
50%
23%
28%
29 21 8 -1