Análisis Luján vs Def. Unidos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
39.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.22
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
28.4%
Empate
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
32.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.07
Goles esperados
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+27%
-16%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 abr. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 2
LUJ
44%
30%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2012 |
LUJ
1 - 0
TAL
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 abr. 2012 |
EXC
1 - 1
LUJ
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 mar. 2012 |
LUJ
1 - 1
LIN
41%
28%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2012 |
MID
0 - 1
LUJ
48%
29%
24%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 abr. 2012 |
CAD
1 - 1
SMG
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2012 |
SAC
2 - 1
CAD
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
CAD
2 - 0
JJU
34%
27%
39%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 28 mar. 2012 |
CAD
1 - 1
ALE
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 mar. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 0
CAD
38%
29%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |