Análisis Luzern vs Concordia Basel
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.99
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.9%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-6%
+29%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 abr. 2005 |
FCA
1 - 2
FCL
59%
20%
21%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 abr. 2005 |
WIL
6 - 1
FCL
39%
24%
37%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 abr. 2005 |
FCL
1 - 1
KRI
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 abr. 2005 |
FCL
3 - 2
BAD
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 mar. 2005 |
FCL
2 - 0
BUL
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Concordia Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 abr. 2005 |
BUL
1 - 3
CON
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2005 |
CON
1 - 1
WIL
42%
24%
34%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 2005 |
BAU
0 - 1
CON
36%
26%
37%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2005 |
CON
1 - 1
SIO
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 mar. 2005 |
BAD
0 - 0
CON
27%
26%
48%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |