Análisis Luzern vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.06
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ago. 1986 |
SER
2 - 1
FCL
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 may. 1986 |
FCL
4 - 0
BAS
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 may. 1986 |
SIO
1 - 2
FCL
72%
17%
12%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 may. 1986 |
FCL
1 - 1
FCA
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1986 |
LAU
0 - 1
FCL
63%
21%
17%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 ago. 1986 |
FCA
0 - 5
NEX
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 may. 1986 |
STG
1 - 2
FCA
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 may. 1986 |
FCA
1 - 3
SER
49%
24%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 may. 1986 |
FCL
1 - 1
FCA
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 may. 1986 |
FCA
3 - 1
VEV
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |