Análisis Luzern vs Aarau
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-7%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ago. 1987 |
NEX
2 - 1
FCL
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 1987 |
FCL
2 - 1
SER
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 jun. 1987 |
FCA
1 - 1
FCL
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 may. 1987 |
FCL
4 - 0
GCZ
38%
26%
37%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 may. 1987 |
BAS
2 - 4
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
Partidos
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ago. 1987 |
FCA
2 - 0
BAS
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 jun. 1987 |
FCA
5 - 0
LUG
60%
22%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 jun. 1987 |
LUG
1 - 0
FCA
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 jun. 1987 |
FCM
0 - 6
FCA
29%
29%
42%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | +1 |
| 20 jun. 1987 |
FCA
3 - 1
FCM
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 53 | 23 | 0 |