Liga Suiza - Play Offs Ascenso Jor. 4

Análisis Luzern vs Aarau

Luzern Aarau
69 ELO 70
0.3% Tilt 12.1%
288º Ranking ELO general 742º
Ranking ELO país 15º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
45.2%
Luzern
25.1%
Empate
29.7%
Aarau

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
Luzern
1.55
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.1%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
29.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
Aarau
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Luzern
-6%
-3%
Aarau

Progresión del ELO

Luzern
Aarau
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 mar. 2001
FCL
Luzern
2 - 3
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
46%
25%
30%
69 70 1 0
11 mar. 2001
WIL
FC Wil
0 - 0
Luzern
FCL
60%
21%
19%
69 74 5 0
25 feb. 2001
WIN
Winterthur
1 - 2
Luzern
FCL
59%
21%
20%
68 72 4 +1
10 dic. 2000
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
30%
27%
43%
67 79 12 +1
03 dic. 2000
SIO
Sion
3 - 0
Luzern
FCL
59%
22%
19%
68 76 8 -1

Partidos

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 mar. 2001
FCA
Aarau
0 - 0
Yverdon
YVE
54%
23%
23%
71 69 2 0
07 mar. 2001
YOB
Young Boys
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
57%
22%
21%
71 73 2 0
24 feb. 2001
FCA
Aarau
0 - 2
AC Bellinzona
BEL
50%
24%
26%
72 73 1 -1
10 dic. 2000
YVE
Yverdon
3 - 3
Aarau
FCA
43%
26%
31%
71 68 3 +1
03 dic. 2000
FCA
Aarau
1 - 3
Grasshopper
GCZ
28%
24%
48%
71 82 11 0