Análisis Luzern vs Thun
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.54
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.6%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 abr. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 0
FCL
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2008 |
YOB
0 - 1
FCL
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 abr. 2008 |
FCL
1 - 0
STG
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2008 |
SIO
0 - 0
FCL
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 abr. 2008 |
FCL
0 - 0
GCZ
32%
26%
43%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
Partidos
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 abr. 2008 |
THU
1 - 1
STG
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2008 |
BAS
3 - 1
THU
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2008 |
THU
0 - 2
GCZ
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 abr. 2008 |
THU
2 - 1
NEX
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 abr. 2008 |
FCA
3 - 0
THU
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |