Análisis Mafra vs Caldas
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.34
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.8%
Empate
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.74
Goles esperados
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-44%
-12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 sep. 2013 |
SIN
1 - 2
MAF
25%
23%
52%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 ago. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
MAF
13%
22%
65%
|
57 | 18 | 39 | +1 |
| 28 abr. 2013 |
MAF
3 - 1
SER
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 abr. 2013 |
FAT
3 - 3
MAF
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 abr. 2013 |
MAF
2 - 0
ORI
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 ago. 2013 |
CAL
0 - 1
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 mar. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 1
CDT
67%
20%
14%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 mar. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 3
CAL
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 feb. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 1
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 feb. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 3
CAL
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |