Análisis Mafra vs Sertanense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-44%
-41%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
MAF
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
MAF
1 - 1
MON
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 mar. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
MAF
25%
25%
49%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 mar. 2012 |
MAF
0 - 1
LOU
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2012 |
FAT
1 - 1
MAF
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 abr. 2012 |
SER
4 - 0
CAL
53%
24%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 mar. 2012 |
EVN
0 - 1
SER
40%
25%
34%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 mar. 2012 |
SER
2 - 1
1DE
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 mar. 2012 |
ORI
2 - 0
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 mar. 2012 |
SER
0 - 0
TOU
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |