Análisis Mairena vs Lucena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.04
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Empate
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 1991 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAI
58%
24%
18%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 1991 |
MAI
2 - 0
SRQ
39%
29%
32%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 feb. 1991 |
LEB
1 - 1
MAI
60%
24%
16%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 1991 |
MAI
1 - 0
ARC
63%
23%
14%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 ene. 1991 |
SFE
0 - 0
MAI
60%
24%
16%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 1991 |
LUC
1 - 3
PAL
30%
29%
41%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 feb. 1991 |
JER
4 - 1
LUC
67%
19%
13%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 feb. 1991 |
LUC
3 - 2
LAP
55%
25%
20%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 ene. 1991 |
ECI
3 - 1
LUC
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 1991 |
COR
2 - 1
LUC
56%
24%
21%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |