Análisis Mairena vs UD Marinaleda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.05
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.1%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-13%
+697%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 oct. 2011 |
POR
1 - 1
MAI
38%
29%
32%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
MAI
3 - 0
ANT
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
ARC
0 - 0
MAI
41%
29%
31%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2011 |
MAI
1 - 2
POZ
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 sep. 2011 |
ROC
0 - 0
MAI
26%
27%
48%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | -1 |
Partidos
UD Marinaleda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 oct. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
AYA
38%
26%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2011 |
SRO
2 - 0
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 sep. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 2
COR
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 sep. 2011 |
SEV
3 - 0
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 sep. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 2
ALC
17%
25%
59%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +1 |