Análisis Málaga vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
67%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.89
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
21%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
12%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.65
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ene. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 0
CAS
69%
20%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2007 |
ZAR
0 - 1
MAL
72%
17%
10%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 ene. 2007 |
CAD
1 - 0
MAL
44%
26%
31%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 ene. 2007 |
MAL
0 - 3
ZAR
35%
28%
38%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2007 |
MAL
2 - 1
ALM
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 2007 |
ELC
2 - 0
HER
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 ene. 2007 |
HER
3 - 0
PON
62%
24%
14%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2007 |
LOR
0 - 1
HER
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 dic. 2006 |
HER
2 - 2
VAD
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 2006 |
XER
0 - 2
HER
64%
23%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |