Análisis Málaga vs Valencia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
35.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.2%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.35
Goles esperados
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 abr. 2012 |
OSA
1 - 1
MAL
45%
26%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 1
RSO
63%
21%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 abr. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
MAL
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 abr. 2012 |
MAL
3 - 0
RAC
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 mar. 2012 |
MAL
0 - 2
BET
60%
22%
19%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Partidos
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 abr. 2012 |
VCF
0 - 1
ATM
54%
22%
23%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 abr. 2012 |
VCF
4 - 0
BET
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2012 |
ATM
4 - 2
VCF
47%
25%
27%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2012 |
ESP
4 - 0
VCF
31%
27%
42%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2012 |
VCF
4 - 1
RAY
76%
15%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |