Análisis Malaui vs Somalia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
63.2%
Probabilidad gana
2.53
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
18%
Empate
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18.9%
Probabilidad gana
1.35
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Malaui
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
01 nov. 1978 |
MWI
1 - 0
KEN
56%
21%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
24 oct. 1978 |
MWI
2 - 1
ALG
36%
23%
41%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +1 |
22 oct. 1978 |
ALG
1 - 1
MWI
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
28 jul. 1978 |
GHA
1 - 0
MWI
78%
14%
9%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
25 jul. 1978 |
NGA
3 - 2
MWI
80%
12%
8%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
Partidos
Somalia
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
04 dic. 1977 |
SOM
0 - 1
KEN
50%
23%
28%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
02 dic. 1977 |
SOM
0 - 1
UGA
45%
22%
33%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
08 nov. 1976 |
ZAM
4 - 2
SOM
66%
17%
17%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
06 nov. 1976 |
UGA
2 - 0
SOM
58%
20%
22%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
04 nov. 1974 |
UGA
1 - 1
SOM
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |