Análisis Malaui vs Uganda
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
39.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.83
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.8%
Empate
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
38.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.8
Goles esperados
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Malaui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 nov. 1978 |
MWI
3 - 1
SOM
63%
18%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 nov. 1978 |
MWI
1 - 0
KEN
56%
21%
23%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 oct. 1978 |
MWI
2 - 1
ALG
36%
23%
41%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 oct. 1978 |
ALG
1 - 1
MWI
73%
16%
11%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 jul. 1978 |
GHA
1 - 0
MWI
78%
14%
9%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
Partidos
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 mar. 1978 |
GHA
2 - 0
UGA
71%
16%
13%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 1978 |
UGA
2 - 1
NGA
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +2 |
| 11 mar. 1978 |
UGA
3 - 0
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +2 |
| 09 mar. 1978 |
TUN
3 - 1
UGA
73%
15%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 mar. 1978 |
UGA
3 - 1
CGO
57%
22%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |