Análisis Mali vs Marruecos
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
19.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.7%
26.2%
Empate
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
54.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.5
Goles esperados
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 feb. 2004 |
MLI
2 - 1
GUI
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2004 |
SEN
1 - 1
MLI
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2004 |
BFA
1 - 3
MLI
21%
24%
56%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 ene. 2004 |
KEN
1 - 3
MLI
28%
25%
47%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 2
MLI
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Marruecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 feb. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 1
ALG
68%
20%
12%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 feb. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
RSA
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 ene. 2004 |
MAR
4 - 0
BEN
83%
13%
4%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 ene. 2004 |
NGA
0 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 nov. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
MLI
63%
23%
14%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |