Análisis Malí vs Nigeria
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
23.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.97
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.3%
25.6%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
50.8%
Probabilidad gana
1.55
Goles esperados
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
-8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Malí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 feb. 2013 |
ZAF
1 - 1
MLI
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2013 |
COD
1 - 1
MLI
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2013 |
GHA
1 - 0
MLI
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2013 |
MLI
1 - 0
NER
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2012 |
BWA
1 - 4
MLI
25%
27%
47%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 feb. 2013 |
CIV
1 - 2
NGA
55%
23%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 ene. 2013 |
ETH
0 - 2
NGA
13%
22%
65%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2013 |
ZMB
1 - 1
NGA
20%
26%
55%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 1
BFA
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2013 |
CPV
0 - 0
NGA
25%
29%
46%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |