Análisis Mallén vs Montecarlo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.72
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.7%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+61%
+31%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Mallén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 mar. 2025 |
HER
4 - 4
MAL
37%
23%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2025 |
MAL
2 - 0
SPO
60%
22%
19%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 mar. 2025 |
ATC
3 - 2
MAL
65%
19%
16%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2025 |
MAL
1 - 1
SDB
33%
26%
40%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2025 |
MAL
1 - 1
ICF
16%
22%
63%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | +1 |
Partidos
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 mar. 2025 |
UDM
0 - 2
ICF
16%
21%
63%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2025 |
PRA
1 - 2
UDM
68%
17%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 mar. 2025 |
UDM
2 - 1
CAR
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 mar. 2025 |
MOR
2 - 1
UDM
41%
24%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2025 |
UDM
0 - 0
ATL
59%
22%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |