Análisis Malpartida vs Trujillo
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
44.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.64
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
31.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.34
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-36%
-50%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Malpartida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 ene. 2010 |
VAL
1 - 1
MAL
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 ene. 2010 |
CAC
2 - 0
MAL
72%
18%
11%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 ene. 2010 |
MAL
7 - 1
SAG
17%
22%
61%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +3 |
| 20 dic. 2009 |
MOR
1 - 1
MAL
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 dic. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 4
PLA
14%
21%
65%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 ene. 2010 |
SAG
3 - 1
TRU
68%
18%
15%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2010 |
TRU
0 - 3
CAC
27%
24%
49%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 ene. 2010 |
MOR
2 - 1
TRU
55%
21%
24%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 ene. 2010 |
TRU
0 - 2
PLA
23%
23%
54%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 dic. 2009 |
NAV
3 - 2
TRU
25%
24%
51%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |