Análisis Malvarrosa vs Navas del Rey
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
84.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.92
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.6%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.56
Goles esperados
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Malvarrosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 ene. 1947 |
MAL
0 - 4
VAL
30%
23%
47%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 dic. 1946 |
CDS
5 - 1
MAL
81%
12%
8%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 dic. 1946 |
MAL
2 - 2
UDC
66%
18%
17%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 dic. 1946 |
SAG
3 - 2
MAL
39%
22%
39%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 dic. 1946 |
MAL
4 - 0
SDS
50%
21%
28%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |