Recopa de Europa 1/16
Global 6-3
Análisis Manchester City vs Athletic
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
67.6%
Probabilidad gana
2.2
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.8%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
13.6%
Probabilidad gana
0.87
Goles esperados
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 1969 |
STO
2 - 0
MAC
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1969 |
MAC
3 - 1
COV
74%
17%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1969 |
ATH
3 - 3
MAC
56%
22%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 sep. 1969 |
TOT
0 - 3
MAC
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1969 |
MAC
0 - 0
CHL
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 sep. 1969 |
ATH
2 - 0
ZAR
62%
22%
16%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 sep. 1969 |
GRA
0 - 0
ATH
34%
28%
37%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 sep. 1969 |
ATH
3 - 3
MAC
56%
22%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1969 |
ATH
2 - 0
MLL
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 jun. 1969 |
ATH
1 - 0
ELC
76%
14%
10%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |