Análisis Manchester City vs Newcastle
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
71.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.52
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.4%
Empate
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
12%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 feb. 2026 |
TOT
2 - 2
MAC
23%
23%
54%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2026 |
MAC
2 - 0
GAL
67%
18%
16%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 ene. 2026 |
MAC
2 - 0
WOL
83%
11%
5%
|
94 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2026 |
BOG
3 - 1
MAC
22%
22%
56%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2026 |
MUD
2 - 0
MAC
22%
22%
56%
|
95 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
Partidos
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ene. 2026 |
LIV
4 - 1
NEW
55%
22%
22%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 ene. 2026 |
PSG
1 - 1
NEW
66%
19%
16%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 ene. 2026 |
NEW
0 - 2
ASV
45%
24%
31%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 ene. 2026 |
NEW
3 - 0
PSV
34%
23%
43%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 ene. 2026 |
WOL
0 - 0
NEW
22%
23%
55%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |