Análisis Maracena vs Baza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
85.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.88
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.3%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
3.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.49
Goles esperados
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 1996 |
CDL
2 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 1996 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAR
23%
28%
49%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 dic. 1995 |
MAR
3 - 2
ANT
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 dic. 1995 |
ATA
1 - 4
MAR
48%
25%
26%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 dic. 1995 |
MAR
2 - 1
G74
51%
24%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 ene. 1996 |
BAZ
1 - 3
JUV
18%
26%
55%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 1996 |
BAZ
2 - 3
POL
14%
25%
61%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 dic. 1995 |
PLU
3 - 1
BAZ
55%
23%
22%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 dic. 1995 |
BAZ
1 - 2
ROC
33%
26%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 dic. 1995 |
BAZ
1 - 0
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |