Análisis Maracena vs Plus Ultra
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
75.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.55
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
15.1%
Empate
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.77
Goles esperados
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-32%
-84%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Maracena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 1996 |
ROC
1 - 1
MAR
48%
26%
27%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 1996 |
MAR
2 - 0
BAZ
86%
10%
4%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 ene. 1996 |
CDL
2 - 0
MAR
57%
24%
19%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 ene. 1996 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAR
23%
28%
49%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 dic. 1995 |
MAR
3 - 2
ANT
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Plus Ultra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ene. 1996 |
PLU
0 - 0
JUV
27%
27%
46%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 ene. 1996 |
POL
7 - 1
PLU
77%
16%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 ene. 1996 |
PLU
0 - 2
CAR
50%
25%
25%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 1996 |
ROC
0 - 0
PLU
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 dic. 1995 |
PLU
3 - 1
BAZ
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |