Análisis Marchena Balompié vs Nervión
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
48.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.9%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.21
Goles esperados
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Marchena Balompié
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 2008 |
MAR
4 - 1
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 2008 |
SJO
0 - 2
MAR
67%
20%
12%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 ene. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 1
ADC
37%
28%
35%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 dic. 2007 |
PUE
3 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 dic. 2007 |
PEN
1 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
Partidos
Nervión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 2008 |
NER
1 - 0
PIN
57%
22%
22%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 2008 |
SAN
5 - 3
NER
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 ene. 2008 |
NER
1 - 1
BET
20%
23%
57%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 dic. 2007 |
SJO
1 - 1
NER
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 2007 |
NUE
3 - 0
NER
63%
21%
17%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |