Análisis Marcílio Dias vs CA Lages
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
83.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.69
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
11.8%
Empate
0-0
4.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
4.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.49
Goles esperados
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 2005 |
CAL
2 - 0
MAR
10%
18%
72%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2005 |
MET
0 - 2
MAR
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2005 |
MAR
2 - 2
JEC
47%
23%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2005 |
TUB
2 - 3
MAR
20%
22%
58%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 0
CRI
21%
23%
56%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
Partidos
CA Lages
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 feb. 2005 |
CAL
2 - 0
MAR
10%
18%
72%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2005 |
JEC
3 - 1
CAL
85%
11%
5%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 feb. 2005 |
CAL
0 - 0
CRI
7%
15%
78%
|
30 | 75 | 45 | +1 |
| 30 ene. 2005 |
MET
1 - 1
CAL
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2005 |
CAL
3 - 1
TUB
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | +6 |