Análisis Marcílio Dias vs Villa Nova
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
49.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.58
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.2%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
25.4%
Probabilidad gana
1.05
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+39%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Marcílio Dias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 jul. 2013 |
POR
1 - 3
MAR
20%
22%
57%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
HER
61%
21%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 3
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 jul. 2013 |
CAC
1 - 0
MAR
19%
22%
60%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 jul. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
PEN
25%
26%
49%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
Partidos
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 jul. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
VIL
64%
22%
14%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 jul. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 3
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 jul. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 1
JUV
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 jun. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
VIL
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 may. 2013 |
CRZ
1 - 0
VIL
86%
11%
3%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | -2 |