Análisis Marek vs Cherno More Varna
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.49
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-23%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 sep. 2006 |
BEL
2 - 2
MAR
47%
28%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2006 |
MAR
4 - 2
ROD
59%
24%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 8
LSO
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2006 |
VIH
1 - 2
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 ago. 2006 |
MAR
4 - 0
CHE
76%
16%
8%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | +1 |
Partidos
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 sep. 2006 |
CVA
1 - 2
VIH
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2006 |
CHE
0 - 6
CVA
16%
24%
60%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2006 |
CVA
2 - 3
LSO
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 ago. 2006 |
BER
2 - 1
CVA
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 ago. 2006 |
CVA
4 - 0
BOT
54%
26%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |