Análisis Marek vs Spartak Varna
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.66
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.3%
Empate
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-20%
-20%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 may. 2014 |
BGA
1 - 0
MAR
21%
27%
52%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
DOB
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 abr. 2014 |
PIR
0 - 0
MAR
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 1
KAL
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 abr. 2014 |
FKV
0 - 0
MAR
26%
29%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
Partidos
Spartak Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 may. 2014 |
SVA
0 - 0
DUN
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 may. 2014 |
FKH
0 - 1
SVA
42%
27%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 abr. 2014 |
SVA
2 - 2
RAK
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 abr. 2014 |
BAN
4 - 0
SVA
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 abr. 2014 |
SVA
0 - 1
BVR
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |